Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 78.126379 87.653240 97.363739 107.970271 119.198618 130.702440 143.350512
2025-10-19 63.229893 76.934571 91.501033 108.007496 126.071497 145.129045 166.647127
2025-10-26 53.616439 69.531043 86.995309 107.318627 130.075174 154.554221 182.668086
2025-11-02 46.990294 64.550312 84.370062 107.958183 134.868633 164.264580 198.471901
2025-11-09 40.795455 59.368982 80.917730 107.111550 137.509011 171.171863 210.795931
2025-11-16 36.133608 55.544018 78.645909 107.263826 140.971132 178.736903 223.618274
2025-11-23 31.543308 51.380183 75.621128 106.222824 142.791360 184.220868 233.901024
2025-11-30 28.707403 49.189456 74.789977 107.617416 147.306748 192.670692 247.453370
2025-12-07 26.338274 47.398077 74.290461 109.275526 152.022633 201.267209 261.106119
2025-12-14 23.111392 44.169037 71.758410 108.258082 153.396203 205.856405 270.043071
2025-12-21 19.864156 40.622168 68.596379 106.270198 153.445607 208.769472 276.930931
2025-12-28 19.076127 40.564215 69.986774 110.000665 160.444891 219.886566 293.389787
2026-01-04 17.783086 39.675831 70.234751 112.277877 165.698430 228.997154 307.599191
2026-01-11 15.641921 37.303178 68.337730 111.691818 167.341903 233.752117 316.658713
2026-01-18 13.716878 35.080815 66.515132 111.095497 168.887708 238.324483 325.448894
2026-01-25 12.339197 33.620112 65.676165 111.729567 171.929422 244.668646 336.317947
2026-02-01 10.686064 31.511388 63.788098 110.869427 173.007251 248.574583 344.238408
2026-02-08 9.454431 30.010218 62.700310 111.024168 175.331258 253.967348 353.913839
2026-02-15 8.058897 28.028891 60.785139 109.962803 176.026943 257.314199 361.093109
2026-02-22 7.341925 27.276540 60.689968 111.384758 179.918001 264.590016 373.008128
2026-03-01 6.739424 26.685225 60.805260 113.075221 184.143933 272.273767 385.416932
2026-03-08 5.667758 24.949606 59.031703 112.037951 184.745618 275.417349 392.288962
2026-03-15 4.550219 22.895815 56.626511 110.011097 183.973606 276.794911 396.969230